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CSEC>> Geography

Population growth
By Marjorie Henry, Contributor

Students at Waterford High School, in Portmore, St. Catherine, wave jubilantly as they enjoy the entertainment during one of the 'No Violence in Schools' tours. - Ricardo Makyn/Staff Photographer

We continue today with the topic of population growth. As indicated in the last lesson, you are required to know about the factors affecting population growth in one Caribbean country. I cannot overstate that whenever you are asked to do a more detailed study of a Caribbean territory in any topic, choose your own country as far as possible. Many times you can answer questions based on what you have observed or made aware of probably through the news media. The question for our consideration today then is: 'What are the factors affecting population growth in Jamaica?'

In his new edition (2005) of the Caribbean Environment, Mark Wilson tells us that Jamaica's population grew rapidly in the 20th century, but the rate of increase gradually declined. In reference to the Economic and Social Survey of Jamaica - 1999, we are informed that the major objective of Jamaica's revised national population policy for 1995 was that of the stabilisation of the population at zero growth.

This goal would be realised through a reduction of the total fertility rate (TFR) to 2.6 children per woman and an increase in contraceptive prevalence from 66.0 per cent to 68.0 per cent by 2003.

The two sources already mentioned as well as Geography for CSEC, by Ottley and Gentles, have indicated factors that have contributed to a decline in population growth. Some of the main points are highlighted below.

Fertility

  • A larger reproductive population, that is, women aged 15-29 years, contributed fewer children in 1999. The data indicated a steady downward trend in the crude birth rate (CBR) over the decade, falling from 25.2 per 1000 to 22 by 1999.

  • There has been a consistent decline in the number of women of reproductive age since 1994. It is expected that as the number of women, 15-29 years, continue to decrease, a corresponding decline will occur in total births.

  • Birth control is now readily available through public sector health centres and private sector pharmacies.

Mortality

In 1999, the infant mortality rate (IMR) was at 24.5 per 1000 live births. This was considered low when compared with other developing countries. A similar situation existed in the maternal mortality rate (MMR). It was estimated at 111 per 100 000 live births in 1998. The aim was to further reduce these mortality rates to get them more aligned with those of developed countries.

Life expectancy

As living conditions and medical care improved, life expectancy has increased since the early 1970s, from age 69 to 76. Infant mortality has been cut by two-thirds.

Migration

There is more emigration (people leaving the country permanently) than immigration (people entering the country and remaining permanently) in Jamaica. Jamaicans migrate to the United States of America, Canada, Britain, and to other Caribbean countries. The U.S.A. is the main country of destination for emigrants, accounting for over 80.0 per cent of total emigrants in 1999.

The Economic and Social Survey further informs us of the effect of immigration on population growth in Jamaica. It states, "The contribution of immigration to population growth has increased in recent years with the return of nationals residing overseas, including the involuntary return of deported persons. In addition, the country has seen an influx of commonwealth and non-commonwealth nationals for educational and employment opportunities."

Improved education

Improved education has contributed to a decline in birth rate. Education empowers women to care for their health, makes them employable and gives them choices. More women than men enter higher education and in addition, two-thirds of women in Jamaica have jobs. This is one of the highest ratios in the world.

Continue reading on the topic. In the next lesson, we will review the factors that affect population growth in one developed country.

Marjorie Henry is a vice-principal at Glenmuir High School and is head of the Geography Department. She teaches the subject at the CSEC Level.

 
 
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